Question Details

Explain what effect each of these factors would have on the long-term trend exchange rate 



1.	Suppose nominal interest rates in the U.S. rise from 4.6% to 5% and decline in Britain from 6% to 5.5%, while U.S. consumer inflation remains unchanged at 1.9% and British inflation declines from 4% to 3%. In addition suppose, real growth in the U.S. is forecasted for next year at 4% and in Britain real growth is forecasted at 5%. Finally, suppose producer price inflation in the U.S. is declining from 2% to 1% while in Britain producer price inflation is rising from 2% to 3.2%. Explain what effect each of these factors would have on the long-term trend exchange rate (  per $) and why?


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