Question Details

Determine the possible effective yields of the portfolio  


1. Effective Yield of Portfolio. Ithaca Co. considers placing 30% of its excess funds in a one-year
Singapore dollar deposit and the remaining 70% of its funds in a one-year Canadian dollar deposit.
The Singapore one-year interest rate is 15%, while the Canadian one-year interest rate is 13%. The
possible percentage changes in the two currencies for the next year are forecasted as follows:
Possible % Change in Probability of that
the Spot Rate Over Change in the Spot
Currency the Investment Horizon Rate Occurring
Singapore dollar -2% 20%
Singapore dollar 1% 60%
Singapore dollar 3% 20%
Canadian dollar 1% 50%
Canadian dollar 4% 40%
Canadian dollar 6% 10%
Given this information, determine the possible effective yields of the portfolio and the probability
associated with each possible portfolio yield. Given a one-year U.S. interest rate of 8%, what is
the probability that the portfolio- effective yield will be lower than the yield achieved from
investing in the U.S.? 



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