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Interpreting a Large Forward Discount

Interpreting a Large Forward Discount 



1. Interpreting Changes in the Forward Premium. Assume that interest rate parity holds. At the beginning of the month, the spot rate of the Canadian dollar is $.70, while the one-year forward rate is $.68. Assume that U.S. interest rates increase steadily over the month. At the end of the month, the one-year forward rate is higher than it was at the beginning of the month. Yet, the one-year forward discount is larger (the one-year premium is more negative) at the end of the month than it was at the beginning of the month.  Explain how the relationship between the U.S. interest rate and the Canadian interest rate changed from the beginning of the month until the end of the month.  


2. Interpreting a Large Forward Discount . The interest rate in Indonesia is commonly higher than the interest rate in the U.S., which reflects a higher expected rate of inflation there. Why should Nike consider hedging its future remittances from Indonesia to the U.S. parent even when the forward discount on the currency (rupiah) is so large?





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16 Apr 2016

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    Interpreting a Large Forward Discount

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