Question Details

Diamond Bank considers borrowing 10 million Singapore dollars in the interbank market 


1.	Aggregate Effects on Exchange Rates. Assume that the United States invests heavily in government and corporate securities of Country K.  In addition, residents of Country K invest heavily in the United States.  Approxi¬mately $10 billion worth of investment transactions occur between these two countries each year.  The total dollar value of trade transactions per year is about $8 million.  This information is expected to also hold in the future.

	Because your firm exports goods to Country K, your job as international cash manager requires you to forecast the value of Country K- currency (the “krank”) with respect to the dollar.  Explain how each of the following conditions will affect the value of the krank, holding other things equal.  Then, aggregate all of these impacts to develop an overall forecast of the krank- movement against the dollar.

	a.	U.S. inflation has suddenly increased substantially, while Country K- inflation remains low.

b.	U.S. interest rates have increased substantially, while Country K- interest rates remain low.  Investors of both countries are attracted to high interest rates.

c.	The U.S. income level increased substantially, while Country K- income level has remained unchanged.

d.	The U.S. is expected to impose a small tariff on goods imported from Country K. 

e.	Combine all expected impacts to develop an overall forecast.

2. Speculation. Diamond Bank expects that the Singapore dollar will depreciate against the dollar from its spot rate of $.43 to $.42 in 60 days. The following interbank lending and borrowing rates exist:
	              Lending Rate	    Borrowing Rate
      U.S. dollar	               7.0%	            7.2%
      Singapore dollar	       22.0%	          24.0%

	             Diamond Bank considers borrowing 10 million Singapore dollars in the interbank market and investing the funds in dollars for 60 days. Estimate the profits (or losses) that could be earned from this strategy. Should Diamond Bank pursue this strategy?





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