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MAT540/MAT 540 WEEK 3 QUIZ 2
MAT 540
WEEK 3
Seventy two percent of all observations fall within 1 standard deviation of the mean if the data is normally distributed.
Answer
If two events are not mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Answer
Probability trees are used only to compute conditional probabilities.
Answer
The minimin criterion is optimistic.
Answer
Using the minimax regret criterion, we first construct a table of regrets. Subsequently, for each possible decision, we look across the states of nature and make a note of the maximum regret possible for that decision. We then pick the decision with the largest maximum regret.
Answer
Both maximin and minimin criteria are optimistic.
Answer
The equal likelihood criterion assigns a probability of 0.5 to each state of nature, regardless of how many states of nature there are.
Answer
Assume that it takes a college student an average of 5 minutes to find a parking spot in the main parking lot. Assume also that this time is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 2 minutes. Find the probability that a randomly selected college student will take between 2 and 6 minutes to find a parking spot in the main parking lot.
Answer
The chi-square test is a statistical test to see if an observed data fit a _________.
Answer
The metropolitan airport commission is considering the establishment of limitations on noise pollution around a local airport. At the present time, the noise level per jet takeoff in one neighborhood near the airport is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 100 decibels and a standard deviation of 3 decibels. What is the probability that a randomly selected jet will generate a noise level of more than 105 decibels?
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
If the probability of brisk business is .40 and for slow business is .60, the expected value of perfect information is:
Answer
A group of friends are planning a recreational outing and have constructed the following payoff table to help them decide which activity to engage in. Assume that the payoffs represent their level of enjoyment for each activity under the various weather conditions.
Weather
Cold Warm Rainy
S1 S2 S3
Bike: A1 10 8 6
Hike: A2 14 15 2
Fish: A3 7 8 9
If the group chooses to minimize their maximum regret, what activity will they choose?
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
The maximax strategy is:
Answer
A group of friends are planning a recreational outing and have constructed the following payoff table to help them decide which activity to engage in. Assume that the payoffs represent their level of enjoyment for each activity under the various weather conditions.
Weather
Cold Warm Rainy
S1 S2 S3
Bike: A1 10 8 6
Hike: A2 14 15 2
Fish: A3 7 8 9
What is the conservative decision for this situation?
Answer
A life insurance company wants to update its actuarial tables. Assume that the probability distribution of the lifetimes of the participants is approximately a normal distribution with a mean of 71 years and a standard deviation of 3.5 years. What proportion of the plan participants are expected to see their 75th birthday? Note: Write your answers with two places after the decimal, rounding off as appropriate.
Answer
A brand of television has a lifetime that is normally distributed with a mean of 7 years and a standard deviation of 2.5 years. What is the probability that a randomly chosen TV will last more than 8 years?Note: Write your answers with two places after the decimal, rounding off as appropriate.
Answer
A manager has developed a payoff table that indicates the profits associated with a set of alternatives under 2 possible states of nature.
Alt S1 S2
1 10 2
2 -2 8
3 8 5
What is the highest expected value? Assume that the probability of S2 is equal to 0.4.
Answer
The quality control manager for ENTA Inc. must decide whether to accept (a1), further analyze (a2) or reject (a3) a lot of incoming material. Assume the following payoff table is available. Historical data indicates that there is 30% chance that the lot is poor quality (s1), 50 % chance that the lot is fair quality (s2) and 20% chance that the lot is good quality (s3).
What is the numerical value of the minimax regret?
Answer
The quality control manager for ENTA Inc. must decide whether to accept (a1), further analyze (a2) or reject (a3) a lot of incoming material. Assume the following payoff table is available. Historical data indicates that there is 30% chance that the lot is poor quality (s1), 50 % chance that the lot is fair quality (s2) and 20% chance that the lot is good quality (s3).
What is the numerical value of the maximin?
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
If the probability of brisk business is .40, what is the numerical maximum expected value?
Answer
Probability trees are used only to compute conditional probabilities.
Answer
If two events are not mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Answer
Seventy two percent of all observations fall within 1 standard deviation of the mean if the data is normally distributed.
Answer
Using the minimax regret criterion, we first construct a table of regrets. Subsequently, for each possible decision, we look across the states of nature and make a note of the maximum regret possible for that decision. We then pick the decision with the largest maximum regret.
Answer
The Hurwicz criterion is a compromise between the maximax and maximin criteria.
Answer
Both maximin and minimin criteria are optimistic.
Answer
The Hurwicz criterion is a compromise between the minimax and minimin criteria.
Answer
Assume that it takes a college student an average of 5 minutes to find a parking spot in the main parking lot. Assume also that this time is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 2 minutes. Find the probability that a randomly selected college student will take between 2 and 6 minutes to find a parking spot in the main parking lot.
Answer
A professor would like to utilize the normal distribution to assign grades such that 5% of students receive A's. If the exam average is 62 with a standard deviation of 13, what grade should be the cutoff for an A? (Round your answer.)
Answer
The metropolitan airport commission is considering the establishment of limitations on noise pollution around a local airport. At the present time, the noise level per jet takeoff in one neighborhood near the airport is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 100 decibels and a standard deviation of 3 decibels. What is the probability that a randomly selected jet will generate a noise level of more than 105 decibels?
Answer
A group of friends are planning a recreational outing and have constructed the following payoff table to help them decide which activity to engage in. Assume that the payoffs represent their level of enjoyment for each activity under the various weather conditions.
Weather
Cold Warm Rainy
S1 S2 S3
Bike: A1 10 8 6
Hike: A2 14 15 2
Fish: A3 7 8 9
If the group chooses to minimize their maximum regret, what activity will they choose?
Answer
The maximin criterion results in the
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
If the probability of brisk business is .40 and for slow business is .60, the expected value of perfect information is:
Answer
Determining the worst payoff for each alternative and choosing the alternative with the best worst is called
Answer
A brand of television has a lifetime that is normally distributed with a mean of 7 years and a standard deviation of 2.5 years. What is the probability that a randomly chosen TV will last more than 8 years? Note: Write your answers with two places after the decimal, rounding off as appropriate.
Answer
A life insurance company wants to update its actuarial tables. Assume that the probability distribution of the lifetimes of the participants is approximately a normal distribution with a mean of 71 years and a standard deviation of 3.5 years. What proportion of the plan participants are expected to see their 75th birthday? Note: Write your answers with two places after the decimal, rounding off as appropriate.
Answer
A manager has developed a payoff table that indicates the profits associated with a set of alternatives under 2 possible states of nature.
Alt S1 S2
1 10 2
2 -2 8
3 8 5
What is the highest expected value? Assume that the probability of S2 is equal to 0.4.
Answer
The quality control manager for ENTA Inc. must decide whether to accept (a1), further analyze (a2) or reject (a3) a lot of incoming material. Assume the following payoff table is available. Historical data indicates that there is 30% chance that the lot is poor quality (s1), 50 % chance that the lot is fair quality (s2) and 20% chance that the lot is good quality (s3).
What is the numerical value of the maximin?
Answer
A group of friends are planning a recreational outing and have constructed the following payoff table to help them decide which activity to engage in. Assume that the payoffs represent their level of enjoyment for each activity under the various weather conditions.
Weather
Cold Warm Rainy
S1 S2 S3
Bike: A1 10 8 6
Hike: A2 14 15 2
Fish: A3 7 8 9
If the probabilities of cold weather (S1), warm weather (S2), and rainy weather (S3) are 0.2, 0.4, and 0.4, respectively what is the EVPI for this situation?
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
If the probability of brisk business is .40, what is the numerical maximum expected value?
Answer
If two events are not mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Answer
Probability trees are used only to compute conditional probabilities.
Answer
Seventy two percent of all observations fall within 1 standard deviation of the mean if the data is normally distributed.
Answer
The Hurwicz criterion is a compromise between the maximax and maximin criteria.
Answer
The equal likelihood criterion assigns a probability of 0.5 to each state of nature, regardless of how many states of nature there are.
Answer
The minimin criterion is optimistic.
Answer
The maximin approach involves choosing the alternative with the highest or lowest payoff.
Answer
The chi-square test is a statistical test to see if an observed data fit a _________.
Answer
The metropolitan airport commission is considering the establishment of limitations on noise pollution around a local airport. At the present time, the noise level per jet takeoff in one neighborhood near the airport is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 100 decibels and a standard deviation of 3 decibels. What is the probability that a randomly selected jet will generate a noise level of more than 105 decibels?
Answer
Assume that it takes a college student an average of 5 minutes to find a parking spot in the main parking lot. Assume also that this time is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 2 minutes. Find the probability that a randomly selected college student will take between 2 and 6 minutes to find a parking spot in the main parking lot.
Answer
The maximin criterion results in the
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
The maximin strategy is:
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
The maximax strategy is:
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
If the probability of brisk business is .40 and for slow business is .60, the expected value of perfect information is:
Answer
A life insurance company wants to update its actuarial tables. Assume that the probability distribution of the lifetimes of the participants is approximately a normal distribution with a mean of 71 years and a standard deviation of 3.5 years. What proportion of the plan participants are expected to see their 75th birthday? Note: Write your answers with two places after the decimal, rounding off as appropriate.
Answer
A branda of television has a lifetime that is normally distributed with a mean of 7 years and a standard deviation of 2.5 years. What is the probability that a randomly chosen TV will last more than 8 years? Note: Write your answers with two places after the decimal, rounding off as appropriate.
Answer
Consider the following decision tree.
What is the expected value for the best decision? Round your answer to the nearest whole number.
Answer
A business owner is trying to decide whether to buy, rent, or lease office space and has constructed the following payoff table based on whether business is brisk or slow.
If the probability of brisk business is .40, what is the numerical maximum expected value?
Answer
The quality control manager for ENTA Inc. must decide whether to accept (a1), further analyze (a2) or reject (a3) a lot of incoming material. Assume the following payoff table is available. Historical data indicates that there is 30% chance that the lot is poor quality (s1), 50 % chance that the lot is fair quality (s2) and 20% chance that the lot is good quality (s3).
What is the numerical value of the maximin?
Answer
The quality control manager for ENTA Inc. must decide whether to accept (a1), further analyze (a2) or reject (a3) a lot of incoming material. Assume the following payoff table is available. Historical data indicates that there is 30% chance that the lot is poor quality (s1), 50 % chance that the lot is fair quality (s2) and 20% chance that the lot is good quality (s3).
What is the numerical value of the minimax regret?
Answer
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16 Dec 2015
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MAT540/MAT 540 WEEK 3 QUIZ 2
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