GM 543 Week 12 Assignment

GM 543 Week 12 Assignment | Franklin Pierce University | Assignment Help

Economic Prediction Assignment

Economic Predictions Final Paper – You are to complete a term paper which analyzes and predicts the economic expansion/recession of a specific industry (oil, tech, manufacturing, transportation, other). As part of this analysis you should use the data and analysis from the Wall Street Journal and other sources to make your arguments. Your analysis should be deep, sophisticated and utilize data to support your arguments. The key to success is to present information/data that supports your personal predication of the economy. The final section of the analysis should be a clear and specific predication of where you believe the economy will be headed in mid 2018. The paper is due in Unit 12. 

The term paper should be organized into the following five sections (please use these as your section titles):

I. Your personal theory regarding the direction of the economy associated with a specific industry (i.e. oil, tech, manufacturing, transportation, other).
II. The industry economic and competitive environment and its outlook.
III. Economic data regarding your industry and what the data tells us about the outlook for the industry.
IV. An overall set of conclusions about your industry based on the data and your analysis.
V. An appendix should be included to hold the statistical data you have collected to support your evaluation and conclusions for the above sections.

The following are factors you may want to consider in your evaluation:

1. Gross Domestic Product
2. Inflation Rate
3. Unemployment
4. Industrial Production
5. Personal Income
6. Index of Leading Indicators
7. Interest Rates
8. Imports/Exports
9. Government Spending
10. Determinants of Aggregate Demand
11. Determinants of Aggregate Supply
12. Consumer Confidence Index

II. Industry Economic and Competitive Environment

1. Economic factors that is important to the industry.
2. The nature of the industry’s business cycle.
3. The factors determining the business cycle.
4. The market structure of the industry.
5. Key competitive factors in the industry.

III. Company Specific Economic Factors - Demand Structure

1. Tastes & Preferences/Use of product
2. Income/Customer size
3. Price of substitutes/complements
4. Expectations
5. Number of customers