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NALYSIS OF BEIRUT PORT EXPLOSION: Risk Management and Reliability Analysis Approach –
Coursework Assessment
This assessment is about: Learning from
Failures and Evaluating Risk and Reliability Analysis. This investigation you
are expected toconduct a comprehensive assessmentof theBEIRUT PORT.A huge explosion on 4th
August that ripped through the Lebanese capital Beirut, killing over 200 people
and injuring more than 6,000. It is estimated that around 40,000 buildings were
damaged, with 3,000 residential structures seriously damaged.
The blast was caused by 2,750 tonnes of
ammonium nitrate, a chemical compound commonly used as an agricultural
fertilizer, which had been stored for 6 years at a port warehouse.The blast is
one of the largest accidental ammonium nitrate explosions ever recorded, it was
so powerful that it was heard more than 200 kilometres away.
The chemical has caused serious industrial
disasters in the past. In 1921, an explosion at an ammonium nitrate factory in
Oppau, Germany, killed 561 people and could be heard hundreds of kilometres
away, and in 2015, the detonation of around 800 tonnes of
ammonium nitrate in the port of Tianjin, China, killed 173 people.
Your task in this assignment is to look
back at the issues Beirut port explosion and show what could have been doneto
prevent the explosion using the risk management and analysis approach. In order
to do this: You need to fully understand the causes and the issues relating to
the Beirut explosion. Write
a detailed report covering the following:
• The technical causes of technicalactivities leading to
the explosion from the risk management and hazard perspective.
• Assess the consequences of the explosion (impact
assessment).
• Carry out an investigation exercise andanalyse the
cause of the explosion, using Fault Tree Analysis, (FTA),
and Reliability Block Diagram (RBD).
• For your FTA, estimate the realistic probabilities of
the various events you have
highlightedfrom your investigation (give a good rationale for the value chosen).
• Use Boolean algebra to find the
minimal Cut Set and draw the equivalent tree.
• Calculate the probability of failures the Beirut
explosion for the top event.
Search for report, videos, articles
linking to the Beirut explosion incident to help in your investigation. Keep referencesof your sources
of information. In the report, you should also make recommendations on what should have been done
interms of emergency and
contingency planning.
This Report is
to be around 3000 words
(excluding appendices).
Coursework submission 12thJanuary 2021
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