MATH 328 Week 2 Discussion

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Forums / Week 2 Forum: History of Probability

While probability was a known concept as far back as Medieval times, and games of chance date back at least to ancient Egypt (and probably even before that), probability theory as we know it today dates back only several hundred years. In the 17th century Galileo looked at dice throwing, but the study of probability as we think of it today really started in the 18th century when Bernoulli devised the law of large numbers (which posits that a large number of trials will produce an experimental result for the mean which is very close to the calculated value of the mean). In turn, the rise of scientific inquiry in the 19th and 20th centuries, especially the development of modern statistics, fueled the further development of modern probability theory.

For this week’s forum, find one topic that is covered in the textbook. It need not be something we cover in weeks 1-2, it can be from anywhere in the textbook. If you prefer to work from a list, I have included a number of Probability topics in the file attachment posted below.

If possible, please try to pick a topic that nobody else has picked yet. You are welcome to post a note early in the week to “claim” your topic. Please put the topic you chose in the subject line heading of your initial post.

Then do a little research on the internet to find out the history of that topic. Who discovered it and/or first described it, and when? Is there an interesting story behind how it was discovered? What else can you tell us about your topic?

Be sure to include the source(s) you use in your post.

Instructions: Your initial post should be at least 250 words. In addition, please respond to at least 2 other students. Your responses should help develop discussion around the topic/feedback that your classmate presented. Responses to students should be a minimum of 100 words each.